Pre-tourney Rankings
Wichita St.
Missouri Valley
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.9#7
Expected Predictive Rating+25.8#1
Pace66.1#223
Improvement-0.4#196

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#17
Improvement+0.6#146

Defense
Total Defense+8.8#12
Improvement-1.1#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 5.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 45.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 88.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen65.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight37.9% n/a n/a
Final Four20.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game10.1% n/a n/a
National Champion4.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 181   Western Kentucky W 66-49 96%     1 - 0 +13.2 -5.5 +19.1
  Nov 14, 2013 169   William & Mary W 79-62 96%     2 - 0 +13.9 +1.3 +13.2
  Nov 16, 2013 290   Tennessee St. W 85-71 99%     3 - 0 +2.8 -1.6 +3.4
  Nov 20, 2013 78   @ Tulsa W 77-54 76%     4 - 0 +32.4 +14.5 +18.8
  Nov 25, 2013 154   DePaul W 90-72 92%     5 - 0 +18.9 +19.4 +0.0
  Nov 26, 2013 47   BYU W 75-62 74%     6 - 0 +23.2 -1.5 +23.5
  Dec 01, 2013 42   @ Saint Louis W 70-65 63%     7 - 0 +18.3 +9.6 +8.8
  Dec 07, 2013 202   Oral Roberts W 71-58 97%     8 - 0 +7.9 -3.4 +11.9
  Dec 14, 2013 16   Tennessee W 70-61 69%     9 - 0 +20.7 +10.2 +11.3
  Dec 17, 2013 86   @ Alabama W 72-67 77%     10 - 0 +14.0 +11.6 +2.8
  Dec 22, 2013 94   NC Central W 77-66 91%     11 - 0 +13.4 +15.4 -0.7
  Dec 29, 2013 129   Davidson W 81-70 93%     12 - 0 +10.8 -0.4 +10.7
  Jan 02, 2014 159   @ Southern Illinois W 82-67 89%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +18.3 +27.8 -6.4
  Jan 05, 2014 96   Northern Iowa W 67-53 91%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +16.2 -5.8 +22.5
  Jan 08, 2014 150   Illinois St. W 66-47 95%     15 - 0 3 - 0 +17.6 -1.1 +19.7
  Jan 11, 2014 151   @ Missouri St. W 72-69 OT 88%     16 - 0 4 - 0 +7.1 -0.1 +7.1
  Jan 14, 2014 199   Bradley W 72-50 97%     17 - 0 5 - 0 +17.0 +4.9 +14.1
  Jan 18, 2014 115   Indiana St. W 68-48 92%     18 - 0 6 - 0 +20.9 +5.4 +18.1
  Jan 22, 2014 150   @ Illinois St. W 70-55 88%     19 - 0 7 - 0 +19.2 +6.0 +13.9
  Jan 25, 2014 176   @ Drake W 78-61 91%     20 - 0 8 - 0 +18.9 +11.2 +8.9
  Jan 28, 2014 231   Loyola Chicago W 57-45 98%     21 - 0 9 - 0 +5.1 -14.1 +20.5
  Feb 01, 2014 204   Evansville W 81-67 97%     22 - 0 10 - 0 +8.8 +9.5 -0.1
  Feb 05, 2014 115   @ Indiana St. W 65-58 84%     23 - 0 11 - 0 +13.4 +0.0 +13.8
  Feb 08, 2014 96   @ Northern Iowa W 82-73 80%     24 - 0 12 - 0 +16.8 +13.1 +4.1
  Feb 11, 2014 159   Southern Illinois W 78-67 95%     25 - 0 13 - 0 +8.7 +5.9 +3.1
  Feb 16, 2014 204   @ Evansville W 84-68 93%     26 - 0 14 - 0 +16.4 +12.7 +3.8
  Feb 19, 2014 231   @ Loyola Chicago W 88-74 94%     27 - 0 15 - 0 +12.7 +12.2 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2014 176   Drake W 83-54 96%     28 - 0 16 - 0 +25.3 +11.2 +15.3
  Feb 25, 2014 199   @ Bradley W 69-49 93%     29 - 0 17 - 0 +20.6 +12.4 +12.3
  Mar 01, 2014 151   Missouri St. W 68-45 95%     30 - 0 18 - 0 +21.5 +1.6 +22.6
  Mar 07, 2014 204   Evansville W 80-58 95%     31 - 0 +19.6 +13.2 +8.2
  Mar 08, 2014 151   Missouri St. W 67-42 92%     32 - 0 +26.3 +8.3 +23.3
  Mar 09, 2014 115   Indiana St. W 83-69 89%     33 - 0 +17.7 +14.0 +3.8
Projected Record 33.0 - 0.0 18.0 - 0.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 45.1 43.1 10.3 1.5 0.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.7 45.1 43.1 10.3 1.5 0.0